What can be done? — Part 2

Premisses

  1. Humans live in a self-organizing adaptive system called Earth. Nested within this, one can identify the world economy, which is also a self-organizing adaptive system, driven primarily by the energy available to it.
  2. There is no central planning: as in all adaptive systems change is driven by evolution, running its ‘diversify, select, multiply’ algorithm in endless loops.
  3. In order for change to happen, first the circumstances (i.e. the natural or economic environment) has to swap into a new state. This is exactly what we are witnessing at the moment with climate change (due to humanity’s carbon release) and economic difficulties as a result of the increasing cost of getting energy and resource depletion.
  4. As a result, the coming changes affecting the course of our civilization will be a sum of adaptive responses. All of these responses will be tested against the changed environment and selected based on their fitness to keep energy use to its maximum level of availability — not based on how hard we wish them to become true.
  5. Maladaptive social behaviors (requiring or tying up too much energy) will be discarded on a large scale, while solutions suggesting an energy use too low compared to what is available will be outcompeted by other methods using net energy to its maximum available level — thus preventing society as a whole to run ahead of the curve in anticipation of what’s coming.

The scale revisited

Net zero

Your piece of action

Warp me!

Business as usual

“There is no use burying your head into the sand, if you do not bury your ass along with it.”

“It has been said that civilization is twenty-four hours and two meals away from barbarism.”

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A critic of modern times - offering ideas for honest contemplation.

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A critic of modern times - offering ideas for honest contemplation.

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